Corydon Central
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #35
Brown County Semi-State Rank #7
Crawford County Regional Rank #2
Crawford County Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.1%
Advance to State Finals 41.4%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating St. Xavier Tiger Run North Harrison Invitational Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Lincoln Trails Invitational Mid-Southern Conference Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 420 422 456 506 512 490 471 456 507 414 498
Team Adjusted Rating 363 387 506 512 490 471 456 507 414 498
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating St. Xavier Tiger Run North Harrison Invitational Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Lincoln Trails Invitational Mid-Southern Conference Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
143  Addison Applegate 11 20:02 20:11 19:48 19:54 19:57 19:48 20:23 20:09 20:01 20:16 20:12 19:55
152  Lilli Pavey 9 20:06 19:58 20:02 19:58 19:57 19:55 20:04 20:03 20:56 20:08 20:16
206  Erika Valdivieso 11 20:23 20:19 19:56 20:26 20:23 20:52 19:53 20:24 20:14 21:17 20:12 21:01
295  Peri Leghart 9 20:43 22:27 22:10 22:00 21:29 21:16 20:22 20:40 21:19
410  Morgan Adams 11 21:12 21:31 20:50 20:46 21:08 21:08 21:21 21:17 21:25 21:17 21:09 21:19
908  Gabby Holland 10 22:30 21:13 21:42 21:53 22:24 23:09 22:21 21:51 23:04 23:32 22:38 22:24
1,143  Katie Eve 9 23:00 22:41 22:38 23:10 23:33 22:44 23:53 22:53 24:03 22:59 22:50
1,263  Camille Coffman 10 23:17 23:07 23:04 23:06 23:30 23:46 23:06




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 41.4% 20.9 478 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.6 2.6 3.7 5.6 6.7 6.7 6.8 5.6
Semi-State 100% 6.5 198 0.1 0.8 6.3 11.9 22.4 41.1 13.1 3.6 0.8
Regionals 100% 2.0 58 2.2 95.8 2.0
Sectionals 100% 2.0 36 1.8 98.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Applegate 47.7% 102.6 10.7% 18.3%
Lilli Pavey 44.6% 108.3 5.4% 12.1%
Erika Valdivieso 41.6% 128.8 0.2% 1.2%
Peri Leghart 41.4% 153.5 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Adams 41.4% 178.4 0.0% 0.0%
Gabby Holland 41.4% 202.9 0.0% 0.0%
Katie Eve 41.4% 204.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Applegate 100% 31.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.9 2.6 2.9 3.4 100.0%
Lilli Pavey 100% 34.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.6 2.4 2.4 2.6 100.0%
Erika Valdivieso 100% 44.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 100.0%
Peri Leghart 100% 59.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Morgan Adams 100% 85.8 97.4%
Gabby Holland 100% 139.6 1.6%
Katie Eve 100% 149.2 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Applegate 100% 5.8 0.1 2.9 13.1 18.3 19.5 15.9 11.6 7.9 4.6 3.0 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Lilli Pavey 100% 6.5 0.1 1.5 8.1 13.5 18.1 18.3 14.1 10.0 6.6 4.3 2.8 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Erika Valdivieso 100% 9.7 0.2 0.5 1.6 4.0 7.6 11.9 15.0 13.7 12.7 10.4 8.4 6.4 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Peri Leghart 100% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.8 4.8 7.1 9.7 11.4 13.3 13.2 11.9 10.2 6.1 3.4 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Morgan Adams 100% 19.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.8 4.1 7.8 10.5 12.1 11.9 11.4 9.1 7.6 5.8 4.0 100.0%
Gabby Holland 100% 45.9 0.0 100.0%
Katie Eve 100% 53.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Applegate 3.3 0.3 39.4 29.7 17.3 7.7 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0
Lilli Pavey 3.8 0.1 25.0 32.4 21.9 11.6 5.8 2.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
Erika Valdivieso 5.8 0.0 2.3 7.3 19.5 26.0 18.5 15.9 8.1 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
Peri Leghart 8.4 0.0 0.2 1.3 6.0 13.9 17.7 27.4 24.2 6.7 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Morgan Adams 11.2 0.0 0.3 1.0 3.7 12.3 27.4 22.8 15.6 9.7 4.3 2.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
Gabby Holland 20.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 3.6 6.8 14.6 15.2 16.7 14.8 12.2 8.0 3.9
Katie Eve 25.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.6 4.9 9.2 13.7 17.6